Water is the master variable in a forest's life. The 2000 to 2021 Southwest megadrought was the driest 22-year stretch in at least 1,200 years, with about 42 percent of it traceable to human-caused warming. The episode explains hydraulic failure and carbon starvation, how heat strips a conifer's resin defense against beetles, and California's 2012 to 2016 hot drought, which killed roughly 129 million trees.
Natural variability still drives most of the megadrought. The human share, near 42 percent for 2000-2021, is a modeled attribution that depends on the period and reference climate used.



