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The State of the Trees · Episode 8 of 13 · 19 min

The Rockies Ledger: When the Forest Can't Grow Back

In the Interior West, drought, beetles and megafire now compound into a new arithmetic, and increasingly the conifers do not come back. Ponderosa fails to regenerate after high-severity fire, lodgepole's fire-triggered cones are defeated by short-interval reburns, and the region has flipped from carbon sink to source. Quaking aspen floods into burns where conifers fail, even as famous stands like Pando collapse.

Where it happens

Timeline

  1. Mid-2000sSudden Aspen dieback named after Southwest hot drought
  2. 2010sBeetle outbreaks kill vast areas of lodgepole and other pines
  3. 2020Cameron Peak, Colorado's largest recorded wildfire, burns the Front Range
  4. Early 2020sSeveral Intermountain West states function as net carbon sources
  5. 2024Utah State University publishes first comprehensive Pando assessment

Still debated

Aspen is both expanding and collapsing: it gains ground in burns where conifers fail, yet iconic and dry-edge stands are dying. The forest that grows back may not be the forest that burned.

rocky mountainsregenerationaspenpandoponderosa pinecarbon
← PreviousThe Conifer Backbone: Is the Timber Engine of the West Holding?

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