Washington justified its return to Panama with drugs and migrants. The episode tests both claims against the data. Darién Gap crossings collapsed from 520,085 in 2023 to 421 by August 2026, while drug trafficking remains large, with 122.04 tonnes seized in Panama in 2025. A U.S. maritime strike campaign killed about 227 people with no official total published.
Strike totals vary by tracker, from 65 to 69, with about 227 killed and no official aggregate. Nearly all victims' identities are unknown, and whether any strike occurred in Panamanian waters is not established. Analysts quoted in the press describe the campaign's effect as redirecting rather than reducing trafficking, and no cause has been established for the 2026 seizure decline.



