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Panama: Crossroads of Empires · Episode 23 of 24 · 22 min

Drugs, Migrants, and the Numbers: Testing the Case for US Troops in Panama

Washington justified its return to Panama with drugs and migrants. The episode tests both claims against the data. Darién Gap crossings collapsed from 520,085 in 2023 to 421 by August 2026, while drug trafficking remains large, with 122.04 tonnes seized in Panama in 2025. A U.S. maritime strike campaign killed about 227 people with no official total published.

Who's who

Where it happens

Timeline

  1. 2023Peak of 520,085 Darién crossings
  2. July 1, 2024Mulino inaugurated; repatriation memorandum signed
  3. February 2025Three U.S. flights carry 299 third-country nationals to Panama
  4. April 24, 2025Human Rights Watch publishes report on the expulsions
  5. September 2, 2025First U.S. strike on an alleged drug vessel
  6. November 13, 2025Operation Southern Spear announced

Still debated

Strike totals vary by tracker, from 65 to 69, with about 227 killed and no official aggregate. Nearly all victims' identities are unknown, and whether any strike occurred in Panamanian waters is not established. Analysts quoted in the press describe the campaign's effect as redirecting rather than reducing trafficking, and no cause has been established for the 2026 seizure decline.

darien gapmigrationdrug traffickingmaritime strikesus troopspanama
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