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The Invisible Bill · Episode 12 of 12 · 23 min

Pricing the Invisible

In 1990 a Republican president signed the law creating the first great cap-and-trade market, and acid rain fell faster and cheaper than predicted. The finale tests the economists' toolkit against every case in the series, from Pigouvian taxes to bans and standards. Pricing works where damages are diffuse and measurable and the polluter is findable, and fails where the science lags, politics reverses, or nature is the polluter.

Who's who

Where it happens

Timeline

  1. 1960Coase publishes "The Problem of Social Cost."
  2. 1974Weitzman publishes "Prices vs. Quantities."
  3. November 15, 1990Bush signs the Clean Air Act Amendments creating the Acid Rain Program.
  4. 1995Phase I of SO2 allowance trading begins.
  5. 2005The EU launches its emissions trading system for CO2.
  6. January 2026The EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism enters its definitive regime.

Still debated

The Acid Rain Program's cost savings range widely depending on the counterfactual, and benefit estimates rest on statistical-life valuations. Economists answer that bans and standards won for lead and fine particles because steep-damage cases are where theory favors quantity instruments; carbon border adjustments remain disputed as climate policy or protectionism.

cap and tradeacid rainpigouvian taxexternalitiesregulationcarbon pricing
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