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The Invisible Bill · Episode 1 of 12 · 21 min

The Invisible Bill

Every product carries a second price paid by people who never bought it. In 1920 economist Arthur Cecil Pigou named the flaw, showing that a factory's smoke imposes costs on its neighbors that never reach its books. The episode previews the series' disasters and cites the Lancet Commission's estimate of about nine million premature deaths and $4.6 trillion in annual welfare losses.

Who's who

Where it happens

Timeline

  1. 1920Pigou publishes The Economics of Welfare, systematizing the negative externality.
  2. 1948A five-day inversion in Donora, Pennsylvania kills about 20 people.
  3. 1960Ronald Coase publishes "The Problem of Social Cost."
  4. October 2017The Lancet Commission reports 9 million deaths and $4.6 trillion in annual losses.
  5. May 2022A progress update finds roughly 9 million deaths still, with modern pollution deaths rising.

Still debated

The nine million deaths are modeled estimates, not counted deaths, and the $4.6 trillion is a welfare valuation rather than cash spent. Economists still argue whether Pigou's taxes or Coase's property rights are the better remedy.

externalitiespollutionpigoupublic healthlancet commissioneconomics

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