After Marble Cone, the Santa Lucias stayed quiet for twenty-two years, then burned again in 1999, 2008, 2016, 2020, and 2026. Each fire had its own cause, from lightning sieges to campfires and arson, but together the intervals shrank to four to nine years. The conifers here need fifteen to twenty-five years to bear cones, so the fire now returns faster than the forest can reproduce.
Whether shorter fire intervals are caused by climate change is disputed, since many recent ignitions were human-caused. Critics also argue the Soberanes suppression spending reflected excessive backcountry firefighting.