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Can You Hear Me Now · Episode 12 of 14 · 23 min

The Quaint Phone

On October 1, 2026 a SpaceX rocket carried a Google satellite with four AI chips into orbit to test whether a data center can run in space. The finale lays out what orbital-computing companies have filed and claimed, gives skeptics their full case on heat, radiation, launch cost and debris, and recalls telecom forecasts that failed. Its verdict is that the forecast's direction holds up better than its timing.

Who's who

Where it happens

Timeline

  1. June 1978Kessler and Cour-Palais publish their paper on creating a debris belt
  2. August 13, 1999Iridium files for bankruptcy nine months after opening
  3. November 4, 2025Google announces Project Suncatcher
  4. January 2026SpaceX applies to the FCC for up to one million orbital data-center satellites
  5. June 12, 2026SpaceX shares begin trading on the Nasdaq
  6. October 1, 2026Google's first Suncatcher prototype launches on a SpaceX rideshare mission

Still debated

When, if ever, orbital computing becomes cheaper than ground computing is open: Musk says within two to three years, a Google lead says not within five, and Google's analysis points to the mid-2030s at best. Whether SpaceX's million-satellite filing is a plan or a placeholder is also unresolved.

orbital computingdata centersstarlinkspace debristelecom forecastssmartphones
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